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To: wastoute

FYI:


https://www.ecodibergamo.it/stories/bergamo-citta/coronavirus-the-real-death-tool-4500-victims-in-one-month-in-the-province-of_1347414_11/
[We compared the number of deaths over the first three months of this year with the average figure of the last three years, in order to verify the increase in mortality across Bergamo’s territory - explains Aldo Cristadoro, founder of InTwig and professor in Digital methods for social research at Bergamo University -. Our evaluation, carried out with great accuracy by means of the official data provided by each local administration, tells us that during the month of March more than 5.400 people have died, and approximately 4.500 of these are ascribable to coronavirus. One year ago, in March, the total deaths were almost 900]


156 posted on 04/07/2020 3:48:29 PM PDT by Zhang Fei (My dad had a Delta 88. That was a car. It was like driving your living room.)
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To: Zhang Fei

That’s worse than any real-life data I have seen elsewhere. It’s also a bigger number (900 in the denominator). My models suggested anywhere from 50% extra mortality to 8x mortality. But only a model, back in late January. Numbers you quote are 6x, and earlier and smaller numbers from Bergamo were 3x other year all cause mortality.


195 posted on 04/08/2020 12:08:46 AM PDT by bIlluminati (Defund the Left. Shrink the U.S. Federal government to 1897 levels.)
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