IMHO with our mitigation efforts in place this country is flat as you say, minus the NYC area. Lets hope the rest of the country stays that way, NYC burns out and we can begin to emerge after Easter. I do believe I heard Fauci say the top is some 6-7 days away.
The NYC New Daily Hospitalizations numbers are already flat. It's been that way for about a week.
The horrific NYC Daily Deaths are a lagging indicator. They are from infections that occurred about 20 days ago, before mitigation.