Why aren’t these models being adjusted to reflect actual numbers. Decisions are being made based on models that aren’t even close to predicting actual hospitalizations and ventilator demand and usage.
Kind of reminds me of climate change models.
If I didn’t know better, I’d start to suspect that a lot of “modelers” fall into the category of
“Figures don’t lie - but liars figure."
Exactly.
This crap has gotten out of control and must be put to an end.
Yesterday Debbie Birx acknowledged the 93K number for total deaths. That is the one they really believe. Otherwise they never would have let it come out of Andrew Cuomo’s mouth.
Half to a third of those in NY/NJ I reckon.
The model that claimed two million Americans and half a million Brits would die has been quietly revised down after taking social distancing into account. The new version was off by a factor of 25. Not 25%, but dropping from two million dead to maybe a hundred thousand.
But that doesn’t make the news. It isn’t considered important. Let’s freak out about case rates, ignoring even recovery rates.