LIVE: Members of the Coronavirus Task Force Hold a Press Briefing 4/3/2020

The White House ^ | 4/3/2020 | The White House

[Forgiven_Sinner]

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[Miss Didi]

Excuse me Press Jerks, there is more to the US than NYC! I am sick of these jerks.

I live in NYC and I couldn't agree more!

[RasterMaster]

Only DOJ should be speaking to her at this point...

[MayflowerMadam]

Birx is, once again, tap dancing around answering the question. She never answers directly.

[nutmeg]

I agree. Telebriefing sounds good to me. This crowd is extra vicious today!

Why no Fox News or OAN today??

[Recovering Ex-hippie]

Now Dr Burks is trying to tell us why her effing models keep changing and don’t work and the dad is not clear and they can’t give us the data because they have 40 year old software so there she is going on ADD nauseam about nothing they don’t know anyting morons

[DivineMomentsOfTruth]

This dope should be allowed any questions.

[lodi90]

Birx is all “If’s and But’s”... Still CYA and fear mongering.

[smvoice]

“Chinatown Restaurant”? sounds racists to me

[Right_in_Virginia]

Who is this whiny man with the glasses pointing his finger at POTUS about the election.

[DivineMomentsOfTruth]

Should NOT be allowed any questions!!

[Miss Didi]

LOVE IT! People CHEAT without Voter ID.

[MayflowerMadam]

PDJT should scream, “IT’S THE STATE GOVERNORS’ JOBS TO BUY THIS STUFF!!”

[nutmeg]

Yup. And how is the Wookie and your two daughters doing, Mr President? 😆

[Chgogal]

Sorry about being mean. Please stay safe and stay well.

[RasterMaster]

DUmbass asking about “mail in voting”....Trump: I don’t support it because they intend to CHEAT!” LOL, shot down douchebag!

[Recovering Ex-hippie]

I am so sick of these so-called bureaucratic brilliant doctors and researchers it’s all legal and they have no specific answer for anything and when they do give an answer 3 days later they tell us all golly gee I guess it wasn’t like that we’re have to change the model give me a break at these a holes off the stage

[Textide]

President Trump: "I was never involved in any models, at least not that type of model...."

Hilarious!

[nutmeg]

LOL! 😃

[Recovering Ex-hippie]

BEST ELECTION EVER

[Political Junkie Too]

On models, I posted this to the Limbaugh Show thread on Monday:

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Models are used to make decisions, not necessarily to predict exact outcomes.

Models are intended to take uncertain variables and combine them in ways that differentiate decision-based alternatives under uncertain conditions.

The reason that models are less predictive is that low/base/high probability assumptions are used, not necessarily the entire continuous range of values. The best alternatives will stand out from the rest, even if the actual values are off from reality, because the same assumptions are used to assess all the alternatives.

This is what is meant by "directionally correct," meaning the alternative is correct even if the actual values are off.

A model alternative that suggests 2 million deaths will be worse than an alternative that suggests 100,000 deaths, even if the actual worst-case deaths might be 1 million deaths and the best case is 50,000 deaths.

That's why we don't focus on what "the model says," we focus on the preferred alternatives and the conditions that make them so.

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-PJ