It aint over yet. What crap.
No. You are talking crap.
Do you think that ship is going to be anywhere near full in a couple of weeks?
Models differ based on assumptions. Exponential curves ramp up quickly. Remember the quote from the statistician George Box: All models are wrong but some are useful. In this case we won't know which models are best until it is over. That's why people say, “Plan for the worst and hope for the best.” Because when the fecal material hits the fan, it is too late...