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To: JayGalt

That would not be the case in my little north central Texas town.
We have one grocery store , three gas stations, and three restaurants.

The restaurants are closed.

How many in the entire community have the virus?

There are a lot of choke points for social contact in a small town or within a tight community that is part of a larger city.


55 posted on 04/01/2020 4:18:56 PM PDT by MrEdd (Caveat Emptor)
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To: MrEdd
At the time of the choir practice there were no known cases in the area.
COVID-19 CASES IN SKAGIT COUNTY RESIDENTS
(Updated 4/1/20 2:45 pm)
Positive Cases 143; Hospitalized 14; Deaths 4
Population Skagit County is 126,026

Skagit County Public Health Officer Howard Leibrand said two of the deaths were of residents at Prestige Care nursing home in Burlington.After all 35 residents and 45 staff at that facility were tested, seven staff and 14 residents were confirmed to have COVID-19.

Local choir suffers devastating losses By Skagit Publishing staff Mar 30, 2020
Howard Leibrand, Skagit County’s health officer, said this cluster of cases shows how easily the virus can spread.

The precautions taken at the meeting — increasing hand-washing and maintaining distance from each other — are generally in line with what the county had recommended.

“But that wasn’t enough in this case,” Leibrand said.

It turned out the experience the choir went through would provide new information about the disease. It apparently could spread without touch and among people who were asymptomatic.

Report of a cluster
The choir’s COVID-19 cases sparked an investigation by Skagit County Public Health, which contacted all participants and close contacts of those with symptoms. All were advised to quarantine or isolate themselves.

Public Health reported it was investigating a cluster, but did not name the group.

https://www.goskagit.com/entertainment/local-choir-suffers-devastating-losses/article_18fcf658-f59d-5d4a-a64f-b00d026b3ba7.html

I am not going to argue this case further. I have no dog in the fight. The Health Officer in Skagit called it a cluster and attributed it to the spread of droplets from singing. If others think that they have a better handle on it than the health officers who did the interviews and the contact tracing then let them believe as they will.

58 posted on 04/01/2020 4:44:07 PM PDT by JayGalt (You can't teach a donkey how to tap dance. Nemo me impune lacessit!)
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