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Birx: US could see up to 200,000 coronavirus deaths if 'we do things almost perfectly'
The Hill ^ | 3/30/20 | Justin Wise

Posted on 03/30/2020 1:40:44 PM PDT by Nero Germanicus

White House coronavirus response coordinator Dr. Deborah Birx on Monday warned that up to 200,000 people in the U.S. could die from the coronavirus outbreak if "we do things almost perfectly."

In an appearance on NBC's "Today," Birx stressed that the Trump administration remains "very worried" about every city in the United States and the possibility that the virus could get "out of control." She also noted that some metropolitan areas "were late in getting people to follow" social distancing requirements and that it had an effect on the virus's spread.

"If we do things together well, almost perfectly, we could get in the range of 100,000 to 200,000 fatalities," Birx said after being asked about U.S. projections related to the outbreak. "We don’t even want to see that." She added that the administration's models show a worst-case scenario of between 1.6 million and 2.2 million deaths if the U.S. were to enforce zero restrictions on travel and gathering. Asked about whether 100,000 to 200,000 deaths in the U.S. was a best-case scenario, Birx emphasized that a best-case scenario would be "100 percent of Americans doing precisely what is required."

"But we’re not sure based on the data ... that all of America is responding in a uniform way to protect one another," she added. "We have to factor that in."

(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
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To: Nero Germanicus

I am so sick of the left/deep state operatives who are doing everything in their power to destroy our country and take down Trump.

Even Fauci is a hack who is obsessed with body count. Sick evil bastards.


21 posted on 03/30/2020 1:53:10 PM PDT by NoKoolAidforMe (Liberalism is a mental disorder.)
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To: Nero Germanicus
some metropolitan areas

Just spit it out. New York!

22 posted on 03/30/2020 1:53:17 PM PDT by The Accused
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To: ConservativeMind

Even worldwide the deaths haven’t exceeded 40,000. That’s worldwide. And we are supposed to believe that in the US it’s will be 200,000 if we are “perfect”? That’s total bull.


23 posted on 03/30/2020 1:53:47 PM PDT by punknpuss
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To: nevermorelenore
.. someone has gotten to her

So it would seem . . .

24 posted on 03/30/2020 1:54:13 PM PDT by tomkat
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To: Nero Germanicus

Doubt that very much.


25 posted on 03/30/2020 1:54:18 PM PDT by madison10
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To: Nero Germanicus

Lowering Expectations


26 posted on 03/30/2020 1:54:41 PM PDT by Regulator
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To: tomkat

Oh, I was calculating the percentage for the “100,000 deaths” estimate. You are right of course, 200,000 deaths would be 0.0556%, rounding to 0.06%.


27 posted on 03/30/2020 1:55:05 PM PDT by Steely Tom ([Seth Rich] == [the Democrats' John Dean])
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To: Nero Germanicus

Distrubute Hydroxychloroquine for Pete’s sake.


28 posted on 03/30/2020 1:56:32 PM PDT by 353FMG ( In God we trust, in Trump we hope.)
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To: ConservativeMind; Nero Germanicus

It’s NOT WHAT SHE SAID!!

Here’s video of DR. Fauchi talking about not getting stuck on the numbers, and that they want to “drive it all the way down” meaning way under the minimum the models suggest.All this is context to the modeled number;

https://youtu.be/lg—anohtSQ?t=1883

Dr.Birx “we’re hoping the models are not completely right, that we can do better than the predictions are”
https://youtu.be/lg—anohtSQ?t=2900

Dr Fauchi, more on models
https://youtu.be/lg—anohtSQ?t=3001


29 posted on 03/30/2020 1:56:56 PM PDT by dynoman (Objectivity is the essence of intelligence. - Marilyn vos Savant)
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To: Buckeye McFrog; Travis McGee

Worst-case scenario is 2.2 million.

Sounds like a Travis McGee estimate.

Could it be the good doctor is posting here under a different name?


30 posted on 03/30/2020 1:56:59 PM PDT by Balding_Eagle ( The Great Wall of Trump ---- 100% sealing of the border. Coming soon.)
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To: Nero Germanicus

We may not even reach 10,000, but don’t worry the number doesn’t matter. The Dems and the media will keep pushing the theme that Trump didn’t have the nation ready for the Wuhan Flu. In August the Democrats in the House will hold hearings for the sole purpose to blame Trump. Count on it. I know a lot of you want to dispel conspiracy theories about how this virus was transmitted into this country, but make no mistake the Democrats and the media are purposely throwing out all kinds of disinformation out there about it to confuse and panic the American people. It has worked and it has led to a wrecked economy. That’s conspiracy enough from these people!


31 posted on 03/30/2020 1:57:11 PM PDT by dowcaet
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To: Nero Germanicus

Yeah, I’m an expert on this and no way she’s right!!

Oh wait, I don’t know jack about it. And neither do the rest of you.


32 posted on 03/30/2020 1:57:32 PM PDT by babble-on
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To: nevermorelenore
She just said, last week,that things on the ground were nothing like the model, and the numbers were overblown in Italy where deaths WITH WuFlu were in the deaths FROM WuFlu column. Why the drastic change ??

What about the meds approved ??

I know... Those have been my exact same questions since yesterday's WH Coronavirus presser (and her appearances on TV shows yesterday).

What the hell is going on??

33 posted on 03/30/2020 1:57:41 PM PDT by nutmeg (Mega prayers for Rush Limbaugh)
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To: Nero Germanicus
The doomsayers are ruling the roost, and who’s to say that they’re right? They don’t know! All they’ve got are their computer models and their media-biased headlines to scare the hell out of everybody. They could be right, but what if they’re wrong? Well, that’s the thing. They never are.

They will get credit for having warned everybody in advance. The fact that the economy’s been shellacked and destroyed? “Ah, an insignificant byproduct to the saving of lives.”

Fearpers take note and please change your soggy Depends.

34 posted on 03/30/2020 1:59:32 PM PDT by SanchoP (Living your life in fear is merely existing. You might as well be dead already.)
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To: Nero Germanicus
She also noted that some metropolitan areas "were late in getting people to follow" social distancing

These are all socialist paradise city states that were doing their damnest to prove President Trump wrong at every opportunity.

Now they are blaming everyone but themselves just like any good liberal politician would.

35 posted on 03/30/2020 2:00:10 PM PDT by pfflier
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To: Nero Germanicus

Have there been 10,000 deaths yet? Let me know when we get to 10,000. Thanks


36 posted on 03/30/2020 2:00:34 PM PDT by Leep (Everyday is Trump Day!)
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To: Nero Germanicus

Bergamo province, Italy

(From Bing search figures)

1.2 million residents

1969 deaths

About 1.5 deaths per thousand


37 posted on 03/30/2020 2:00:51 PM PDT by Brian Griffin
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To: punknpuss

“Even worldwide the deaths haven’t exceeded 40,000.”

China’s numbers have to be suspect though. I’m not a stats cruncher but if China were to report accurate numbers, I’m guessing that the overall worldwide number would be higher.


38 posted on 03/30/2020 2:01:08 PM PDT by MplsSteve
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To: TheConservativeParty; Russ; BookmanTheJanitor; NoKoolAidforMe; punknpuss; madison10

See post 29, it’s NOT WHAT SHE SAID!

People need to watch the daily briefings themselves and not pay attention to what the feral media says were in the briefings.

https://www.youtube.com/user/whitehouse/videos


39 posted on 03/30/2020 2:01:45 PM PDT by dynoman (Objectivity is the essence of intelligence. - Marilyn vos Savant)
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To: ConservativeMind

Thank you, doctor. /s


40 posted on 03/30/2020 2:01:49 PM PDT by Williams (Stop Tolerating The Intolerant)
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