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To: Mr Rogers

We already know a lot of people have it and have not and will not, or choose not to be tested. All I wrote was Iceland is too small and isolated country to give us anything definitive...We should randomly test 10,000 here and see where we are at...I don’t care about Iceland.


9 posted on 03/29/2020 7:12:23 PM PDT by DHerion
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To: DHerion

>>We should randomly test 10,000 here and see where we are at...I don’t care about Iceland.<<

That still won’t give us the data we really need because the test only picks up current infections. It misses counting people who didn’t get tested when they were sick and had already recovered. That number could be small (if the virus sends most people to the hospital) or very large (if the virus is just shrugged off by the majority of people it infects.)

We just don’t know, and we won’t know until we start doing antibody testing of large numbers of people. Then, and only then, will we know what percentage have had it, what percentage of those get hospitalized, and what percentage die without an effective treatment. (Hopefully, we are well on the way to determining an effective treatment, but that’s a separate issue.)


17 posted on 03/29/2020 9:47:15 PM PDT by Norseman (Defund the Left....completely!)
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