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To: Mr Rogers

“Over 6% of those tested already have it “
The article states that people were offered a free test. It is likely that many more people who decided to take the test had symptoms. If you were perfectly healthy why would anyone bother to take a test? So the 6% overall infection rate is biased high. We need a random sample of a large population to be tested to find the true infection rate.


21 posted on 03/30/2020 4:46:04 AM PDT by brookwood (Obama said you could keep your plan - Sanders says higher taxes will improve the weather)
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To: brookwood

“The article states that people were offered a free test. It is likely that many more people who decided to take the test had symptoms.”

True. But it is also true that these are the only stats available where having symptoms is not a prerequisite. And in fact, half of the infected have shown NO symptoms.

So while the 6% figure is likely to be high, it is also very likely that “the denominator” - the number who have or already had coronavirus - is much larger than the current numbers given in any other country.

Currently, Iceland has tested 16,484 people. 1,086 have tested positive. 25 have needed hospitalization. 2 have died. That suggests a different picture than what we’re hearing from any other government.

If the hospitalization rate is 2.5%, THAT would be pretty significant! If the hospitalization rate is 2.5%, then the death rate is likely to be far under 1%.


22 posted on 03/30/2020 6:59:15 AM PDT by Mr Rogers (Professing themselves to be wise, they became fools)
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