That'll all be coming out later, Tuesday or thereabout.
Wise info disclosure approach, I think. Let us digest the April 30 possibility, then get into the what if earlier questions.
Doctors now say 80-180,000 if we stay the course to April 30
Who know what number they would project if lifteed say April 5, then put back in. Or Lifted April 19, etc. All of those models would, today, give higher death range. How much higher? Good questions for the doctors. They know the model, the data, etc. Good to hear them finally talking in ranges.
“ That’ll all be coming out later, Tuesday or thereabout.”
That slow roll out of ‘get back to work’ for low infected number areas is problematic. Those states/counties are low for the simple reason they are low population areas.
Low population = fewer contact points (stores/gas stations) = low infected numbers. BUT not lower percentage numbers.
This whole thing has been geared to not overwhelm local systems. Completely unsurprising large population center county hospitals are first to feel it. Dem areas even more so.