Yes, indeed. The two completely different models of doing nothing vs. social distancing do show very different results. This was falsely reported by some as being the modeler “changing his mind” and “reversing” his previous findings, which in fact never occurred.
Additionally, his earlier estimates included very small and almost certainly biased data sets. As Dr. Birx has said - data on the ground does not support the previous forecasts. If Dr. Ferguson is guilty of anything it is letting the media run with his early forecasts (which he most certainly knew were based on worst case assumptions and very little data) as if they were gospel truth. As a researcher with integrity, he should have been in the media explaining the limitations of his early estimates. He was not.