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U.S. COVID-19 DEATH RATE REMAINS LOW
Powerline ^ | March 28,2020 | JOHN HINDERAKER

Posted on 03/28/2020 1:01:09 PM PDT by Hojczyk

The total number of Wuhan virus cases in the US surpassed the total in any other country yesterday. It is no surprise the media and their Democratic allies are using this data to cudgel the White House and mislead Americans. But anyone with fifth grade math (which apparently excludes most of the media) knows how irrelevant and misleading such a comparison is.

As we have pointed out, the only way to compare the status of the pandemic across countries is to analyze the number of deaths and cases on a per capita basis. The number of deaths per capita is most important, but per capita case rates provide a leading indicator that is also important to watch.

Despite what the media would like everyone to believe, this past week continues to bring good news for Americans. The number of per capita deaths reported in the United States remains amongst the lowest in the world. As of today, the US has recorded 5 deaths per million from the Wuhan virus, one-fifth of the total in Western European countries as a whole. Only Germany and Norway are recording lower deaths per capita, and that is only by a small fraction.

case numbers is that they largely reflect the amount of testing that has been done. Brian continues:

With the significant ramp in US testing (526,000 tests were run this past week), it is also reasonable to start comparing relative per capita case rates across countries. Again, the US is doing well relative to Western Europe. Except for the UK, the US has fewer reported cases per capita than every Western European country

(Excerpt) Read more at powerlineblog.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: badmath; bloggers; chinavirusmortality; fakenews; powerlineblog
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1 posted on 03/28/2020 1:01:09 PM PDT by Hojczyk
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To: Hojczyk

case numbers is that they largely reflect the amount of testing that has been done. Brian continues:

With the significant ramp in US testing (526,000 tests were run this past week), it is also reasonable to start comparing relative per capita case rates across countries. Again, the US is doing well relative to Western Europe. Except for the UK, the US has fewer reported cases per capita than every Western European country. Some will argue that our per capita test rate is too low to make such a comparison legitimate. Since the number of per capita tests run in the US is now comparable or better to every European country other than Italy’s and Germany’s, that argument is losing weight. Tracking case rates over the next few weeks will tell us a lot.

Finally, it is interesting to note that, outside of New York, the percentage of positive tests relative to total tests run is only 12%. This is comparable to the level the CDC reports for flu tests. The outlier, of course, is New York. Over 30% of all tests report a positive result. This test positive rate is relevant because epidemiologists use it in their models to project the true incidence of an infectious disease in a population. With the convergence of test positive rates for Wuhan virus and influenza in most parts of the country, better projections of total infection rates should follow.


2 posted on 03/28/2020 1:02:03 PM PDT by Hojczyk
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To: Hojczyk

L8r


3 posted on 03/28/2020 1:03:49 PM PDT by preacher ( Journalism no longer reports news, they use news to shape our society.)
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To: Hojczyk

Not gonna go down well with the WE’RE ALL GONNA DIE! crowd here.


4 posted on 03/28/2020 1:06:41 PM PDT by miss marmelstein (Prayers for Rush)
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To: Hojczyk

We don’t know how many people have been infected with the virus. Many prior to third week of March weren’t even looked at for the virus. The flu was often the given possible cause. This is a panic over not much.


5 posted on 03/28/2020 1:07:02 PM PDT by CodeToad (Arm Up! They Have!)
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To: miss marmelstein

SO TRUE!


6 posted on 03/28/2020 1:08:00 PM PDT by nopardons
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To: Hojczyk

So we are comparing the death rate, per capita of San Marino to the per capita of the US? Ok. That makes no sense. Especially when it’s just getting started here.

Articles like this are just intellectually weak.


7 posted on 03/28/2020 1:08:30 PM PDT by Vermont Lt
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To: preacher

I’ve noticed that its harder to find good up to date stats anymore....since the first wave has come and gone, its like the authorities don’t want us to know that it seems to be declining quickly...or is it?...its not clear...


8 posted on 03/28/2020 1:10:01 PM PDT by cherry
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To: Hojczyk

It would be good to see a few days in a row where the number of deaths decrease from the day before. Once we start moving away from the “exponentially spiking death rate” narrative, maybe some of the panic will subside.


9 posted on 03/28/2020 1:10:45 PM PDT by CatOwner
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To: nopardons

A friend of mine on Twitter just put up a video of a hospital ER entrance in Bk’lyn that the media says is being overrun with victims and is chaotic. The video gives new meaning to the word “crickets.” Why is the media lying so much?


10 posted on 03/28/2020 1:14:08 PM PDT by miss marmelstein (Prayers for Rush)
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To: Hojczyk

Shhhh. Don’t tell anyone. Some here at FR don’t like data


11 posted on 03/28/2020 1:14:28 PM PDT by Nifster (I see puppy dogs in the clouds)
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To: miss marmelstein
.. WE’RE ALL GONNA DIE! crowd here

Ha !
Reckon they can all take some kind of smug solace in being right .. eventually   ;-)

12 posted on 03/28/2020 1:15:40 PM PDT by tomkat
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To: miss marmelstein
Not gonna go down well with the WE’RE ALL GONNA DIE! crowd here.

Bad luck to those bastards. They make me sick.

13 posted on 03/28/2020 1:16:46 PM PDT by Mr Ramsbotham ("God is a spirit, and man His means of walking on the earth.")
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To: miss marmelstein; All
Why is the media lying so much?


             

< /rhetorical answer >

14 posted on 03/28/2020 1:17:44 PM PDT by tomkat
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To: tomkat

Yes, indeed!


15 posted on 03/28/2020 1:18:06 PM PDT by miss marmelstein (Prayers for Rush)
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To: Nifster

“Some here at FR don’t like data”

That’s not true. They do like data.

But only if it’s of the high casualty apocalyptic nature.


16 posted on 03/28/2020 1:18:24 PM PDT by MplsSteve
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To: Vermont Lt

It’s been here, at least, since late December


17 posted on 03/28/2020 1:18:36 PM PDT by nevermorelenore ( If My people will pray ....)
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To: miss marmelstein

The hospital my son works at has half the beds empty, Drs have almost nothing to do, some furloughed


18 posted on 03/28/2020 1:20:19 PM PDT by nevermorelenore ( If My people will pray ....)
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To: Hojczyk

‘The total number of Wuhan virus cases in the US surpassed the total in any other country yesterday.’

I say bullshit. I don’t trust a damn word any media outlet says. They are all stooges for the UN and China.

This is nothing but hysteria to see how much they could get away with.. a test run of sorts.


19 posted on 03/28/2020 1:22:15 PM PDT by Rebel Egg
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To: nevermorelenore

I think you’ve posted this before? Either that, or others are posting the same story! My brother in NYC says that no one is dying in the streets, either. He also sees no panic in the streets.


20 posted on 03/28/2020 1:23:00 PM PDT by miss marmelstein (Prayers for Rush)
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