So, the worst case scenario is NOT the likely scenario after all?
Surprise, surprise.
This is exactly what President Trump and other level-headed people have been trying to point out all along - only to be called “flu-bros”. The worst case scenario is by definition unlikely to unfold.
The worst case scenario and the best case scenario are two extremes in a wide range of possibilities and therefore they are the two LEAST likely scenarios. What is most likely is somewhere in between. Obviously.
Data curves for other countries are chalk full of unknowns, assumptions, uncertainties. Each country is different in so many ways. The data is far too incomplete to rely on. The assumed causal relationships are far too unproven. The US outcone is simply NOT predictable.
One piece of data - mortality rate - is fraught with error and omission. The denominator is grossly understated by the lack of testing, and the numerator is conflated with deaths that had multiple causes. We simply have no idea how many infections there are, and to publish a bullshit mortality rate that is exaggerated by orders of magnitude does nothing but sow panic amongst the ignorant - but that’s the whole idea isn’t it?
Trump’s enemies immediately saw this viral outbreak and the public’s fear of it as something to exploit - an opportunity to damage the President’s pre-election economy. The ABCNNBCBS media monopoly, the DNC, Democrat governors, legislators and presidential candidates - all joined the chorus - and stirred up a panic and began shutting down businesses.
And all you statistically-challenged know-it-alls, even here on FR, have played right into their hands, spreading panic and doomsday scenarios, and arrogantly claiming scientific knowledge that you don’t have.
Rational thinkers include the worst case scenario in a range of possibilities, but when planning a course of action we weigh the likely cost of an action against the likely benefit. To do otherwise would be irrational.
You people were wrong to push worst case scenarios as if it were inevitable, and your arrogance, your naked appeals to authority and your spurious claims of scientific prescience have caused needless harm to the economy, and have aided and abetted the Left’s get-Trump agenda.
I hope you chicken littles are satisfied.
*snip*
You people were wrong to push worst case scenarios as if it were inevitable, and your arrogance, your naked appeals to authority and your spurious claims of scientific prescience have caused needless harm to the economy, and have aided and abetted the Left’s get-Trump agenda.
Attaboy.
#SheepNoMore
yep