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To: FormerFRLurker

I curious, do you know that the total nation wide serious/critical cases is 2,436?

That the daily rate of increase of serious/critical cases in the USA is pretty steady at 250?

I will do the math for you 250 x 100 days = 2,500. And that is total number of case so while that number is added to daily it will also be reduced by the number of resolved cases as people move out of the serious/critical category.

Do you know if you are under 60 with no underlying health issues your recovery rate is 99.96%?

The risk group for this is about 2% of the population. I am in that 2% high risk group and I see what an absurdity is being done here

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/


55 posted on 03/27/2020 2:35:23 PM PDT by MNJohnnie (They would have abandon leftism to achieve sanity. Freeper Olog-hai)
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To: MNJohnnie

That the daily rate of increase of serious/critical cases in the USA is pretty steady at 250

That's not supported by the link, which shows 2,463 serious/critical conditions today and 2,122 serious critical conditions yesterday. 2,463 - 2,122 = 341, not the 250 you cited. But the number of total cases, and therefore the number of serious cases, is increasing every day. Take a look at the graphs provided on the link. They look like exponential curves to me. So the rate of increase is itself increasing. If you want the actual numbers for the US https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/ shows:

March 21: 4825 new cases, 46 new deaths

March 22: 9400 new cases, 113 new deaths

March 23: 10189 new cases, 141 new deaths

March 24: 11075 new cases, 225 new deaths

March 25: 13355 new cases, 247 new deaths

March 26: 17224 new cases, 268 new deaths

Let's say our multiplier is 1.35, which seems to best approximate its growth in the US.

https://91-divoc.com/pages/covid-visualization/?fbclid=IwAR2NQAFsqvbrVYvvkx59T8TNM1nmZJoaV8b-iKgGrKmXa-1DIRO-hUYF07c

As of this posting our current CV cases stand at 101,652. With our 1.35 multiplier tomorrow it will be around 137,230, the day after that 185,260, and 250,102 the next day. About a 250% increase in 3 days. At that point our health care system could handle it since only about 1% of CV patients require hospitalization and of those only 25% require ICU beds. 1% of 250,000 is 2,500 and 25% of 2,500 is 625. Now 625 for 30,000 ICU beds not taken up by non-CV patients isn't bad. But what happens if the cases keep multiplying by 1.35? Keep multiplying 625 by 1.35 and in 13 days you will have more CV-related ICU patients than ICU beds available (the link below says 70% of all ICU beds are already in use by non-CV patients).

https://www.medpagetoday.com/hospitalbasedmedicine/generalhospitalpractice/84845

Do you know if you are under 60 with no underlying health issues your recovery rate is 99.96%?

Oh, as a healthy young person I'm not actually worried about *dying* from CV, although if possible I'd like to avoid the permanent lung damage faced by many CV survivors, to say nothing of the sky-high medical bills. No, my primary concerns are a) avoiding becoming a carrier and infecting others who are at-risk and b) avoiding a scenario where I need to go to a hospital for some reason, say a car accident, and there is no space left for non-CV patients. Oh, and where the economy would enter a depression anyway.

58 posted on 03/27/2020 4:30:21 PM PDT by FormerFRLurker (Keep calm and vote your conscience.)
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