Fergason testified before Parliament that his numbers changed because he accepted China’s numbers, that 20% would be hospitalized.
He should have known better. So should the people who listened to him.
At any rate Birx’ explanation sorts out the question pretty well.
He did huh?
What is 20% of 81,000 (the total number of coronavirus infections in China)?
How the heck do you come up with a massive 500,000 dead in the UK then?
And how can ANY prognosticator in ANY field be off by as much as TWENTY FIVE TIMES the figures they gave out just a few short weeks ago?