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Epidemiologist Behind Highly-Cited Coronavirus Model Admits He Was Wrong, Drastically Revises Model
DailyWire.com ^ | March 26th, 2020 | Amanda Prestigiacomo

Posted on 03/26/2020 10:52:24 AM PDT by aMorePerfectUnion

Epidemiologist Neil Ferguson, who created the highly-cited Imperial College London coronavirus model, which has been cited by organizations like The New York Times and has been instrumental in governmental policy decision-making, offered a massive revision to his model on Wednesday.

Ferguson’s model projected 2.2 million dead people in the United States and 500,000 in the U.K. from COVID-19 if no action were taken to slow the virus and blunt its curve.

However, after just one day of ordered lockdowns in the U.K., Ferguson has changed his tune, revealing that far more people likely have the virus than his team figured. Now, the epidemiologist predicts, hospitals will be just fine taking on COVID-19 patients and estimates 20,000 or far fewer people will die from the virus itself or from its agitation of other ailments.

Ferguson thus dropped his prediction from 500,000 dead to 20,000.


TOPICS: Front Page News; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; United Kingdom
KEYWORDS: 202003; 20200325; ayecorona; chinavirusmodeling; coronavirus; coronavirusmodel; covid19; epidemiologist; imperialcollege; neilferguson; oops; teamapocalypsesucks; unitedkingdom; wuhanflu
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To: aMorePerfectUnion

But I gave you the chance to get to know your family. HHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA! Put down that axe!


161 posted on 03/26/2020 12:51:29 PM PDT by Eleutheria5 ("SHUT UP!" he explained.)
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To: aMorePerfectUnion

For the love of Pete, people. We’ve spent weeks now on FR having to see “we’re all doomed” vs. “it’s just the flu”, with every posted article being accompanied by “See? This proves I’m right and you’re stupid!”

Now one guy changes his computer model and we’re going to have to see “I told you so!” for the next week? This place is like an elementary school playground sometimes.


162 posted on 03/26/2020 12:54:10 PM PDT by fr_freak
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To: gogeo
Again, if you believe the numbers they give.

Again the factories HAVE reopened.

Microsoft's hardware supply chain ‘getting back on rails,’ says CEO Satya Nadella

https://www.windowscentral.com/microsofts-hardware-supply-chain-getting-back-rails-says-satya-nadella

Its not about the figures given by the Chinese Government.. See Chinese social media, Youtube, etc.
Listen US CEO’s who's companies have supply chains/factories in China.

163 posted on 03/26/2020 12:57:05 PM PDT by SmokingJoe
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To: immadashell
Get out of the way of the massive walk-back by the media and their drones.

Not a chance. This is globalist power grab and they need to keep the momentum and hysteria going to undermine Trump.

Except them to shout this down loudly and double down on the Chicken Little hysterics.

164 posted on 03/26/2020 12:57:26 PM PDT by Spirochete (GOP: Gutless Old Party)
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To: Buckeye McFrog

Jor-el however was correct and planet Krypton was blown to bits along with all the Kryptonians! Except for Ka-lel, anyway.

I read it in Tales of The Krypt!!


165 posted on 03/26/2020 1:07:00 PM PDT by Gasshog (The Silver Lining to the Black Cloud of Liberalism agenda always comes back to bite them in the ass!)
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To: rightwingintelligentsia
[He must have the same math skills as Brian Williams and Mara Gay.]



;)
166 posted on 03/26/2020 1:07:05 PM PDT by SaveFerris (Luke 17:28 ... as it was in the days of Lot; they did eat, they drank, they bought, they sold ......)
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To: Gasshog

They all think they are Jor-El. That’s my point.


167 posted on 03/26/2020 1:09:11 PM PDT by Buckeye McFrog (Patrick Henry would have been an anti-vaxxer)
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To: SaveFerris

Now that’s a scary virus indeed!


168 posted on 03/26/2020 1:09:53 PM PDT by 3boysdad (The very elect.)
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To: dfwgator
😁
169 posted on 03/26/2020 1:11:57 PM PDT by RushIsMyTeddyBear ("Progressives" (elitist Communists) "Love you to death".)
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To: SmokingJoe
1) Who's telling them?

2) Is this "Show up for work or else?"

It's foolish to accept ANYTHING out of the ChiComs at face value.

170 posted on 03/26/2020 1:15:34 PM PDT by gogeo (The left prides themselves on being tolerant, but they can't even be civil.)
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To: gogeo

About as foolish as accepting ANYTHING from the mainstream media at face valve.


171 posted on 03/26/2020 1:17:01 PM PDT by tatown
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To: aMorePerfectUnion

This is going to cost China a lot more than $2.2 trillion.


172 posted on 03/26/2020 1:17:44 PM PDT by Hoosier-Daddy ("Washington, DC. You will never find a more wretched hive of scum and villainy. We must be cautious")
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To: gogeo
Who's telling who?
Unless you are telling us that the US CEO’s who say their supply chains in China are getting back on track don't know what they are talking about and you do.
You wanna try again?
173 posted on 03/26/2020 1:20:26 PM PDT by SmokingJoe
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To: aMorePerfectUnion

Reminds me of calculus. It wasn’t the calculus that you got wrong, but the arithmetic, lol!


174 posted on 03/26/2020 1:22:10 PM PDT by Hoosier-Daddy ("Washington, DC. You will never find a more wretched hive of scum and villainy. We must be cautious")
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To: Wuli

So, there —isn’t— asymptomatic spreaders of the Wuhan flu?


175 posted on 03/26/2020 1:22:21 PM PDT by WildHighlander57 ((WildHighlander57 returning after lurking since 2000)
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To: tatown

Sadly, yes. The press we granted great protections to in order to be well informed had turned into a tool of misinformation.


176 posted on 03/26/2020 1:23:04 PM PDT by gogeo (The left prides themselves on being tolerant, but they can't even be civil.)
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To: Kozy

Or the Steve Harvey of Epidemiologists


177 posted on 03/26/2020 1:24:23 PM PDT by Hoosier-Daddy ("Washington, DC. You will never find a more wretched hive of scum and villainy. We must be cautious")
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To: SmokingJoe

You can believe anything you want.


178 posted on 03/26/2020 1:24:47 PM PDT by gogeo (The left prides themselves on being tolerant, but they can't even be civil.)
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To: aMorePerfectUnion

179 posted on 03/26/2020 1:25:19 PM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: gogeo

Back at you, mate.


180 posted on 03/26/2020 1:25:51 PM PDT by SmokingJoe
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