Since we are more likely to follow the Social distancing /with short-term shelter in place, We can expect a peak infection to occur around mid-May and hospital beds to become unavailable in late April. Unintended consequences of Shelter in Place are food and supply shortages, severe disruption of economy.
I expect the Trump administration will be looking at similar but more sophisticated models and include economic/supply models, then implement a mandatory best-case scenario for the whole country.
oh- now we are pushing the peak infection period back to mid-May?? Last week we were two weeks away from where Italy is presently...
the doomsayers are sounding more and more like the global climate nuts...