This is a well constructed syllogism (?) which, IMO, defines Prez Trump's dilemma. He may perceive that there is a built in trap in this scenario of accepting a dangerous pandemic, yet, by weight of the media's power, it might prove counterproductive to take it too lightly and not be seen as conquering the challenge in a post modern world setting.
IOW, Trump may have fallen in to a trap with this potentially fabricated pandemic story, but he might prove to have bested the odds and portrayed himself as a super administrator if he can present a picture of having met the historical odds {e.g. Barak 0bama & the H1N1 viral epidemic} and overcome them.
It seems doubtful that the elitist controlled media will ever afford him the appearance of such a victory.
I agree that President Trump may have reacted to the pandemic more aggressively than he considered necessary, but he decided, wisely, to err, if at all, on the side of caution.
His motivation, as always, was to do his duty and protect the American People.
He was no doubt aware of the pressure on him, from his enemies, not to show any sign of negligence or weakness. He knows these people well. He has always outthought and outmaneuvered them. He towers over them intellectually and morally, and they lack the wit even to comprehend his huge intellectual and moral advantage over them.
Trump is a super administrator, and he has met the historical odds. He will also overcome them.
The corrupt news media will never acknowledge Trump's towering intellect and morality over them. They are too corrupt to believe it even if they were honest enough to perceive it. He knows this.
Only a fool would underestimate Donald Trump.
The corrupt news media and the Democrat Party are full of fools.