In order to follow the SK model youve got to have lots of tests available on Day 1. We did not.
And you have to have a society with discipline-we do not. Korea didnt have half its society running around at day one calling it a hoax or calling it a political hit job. They tested and immediately socially isolated instead of complaining. We arent Korea.
Why? If the most at-risk self-quarantine then having tests day 1 is irrelevant. This is about changing the behavior of specific people to reduce risk.
I’ve been saying the same thing. We can reduce the total deaths by getting through it all as quickly as possible while quarantining the most at-risk. Thousands die of the flu every year and we don’t come close to behaving this way. Will some that are not part of the typical “at risk” group die? Yes, as usual. Destroying modern society will also kill people.
One of the most important variables is the *duration* of the virus life. The longer it lives the more will die. We are causing it to live longer.