More than half the cases and over 60 percent of fatalities so far have been in three states: New York, Washington, and California. And even then, they are very localized. That’s why resources and the balance of quarantine vs. economic activity should be targeted.
For example, 56 percent of the Washington state cases are in King County, and when the two neighboring counties are factored in, they account for almost all the cases. 85 percent of the deaths were in King County, of which more than half were in one nursing home. Almost all the deaths are in metro Seattle.
As of Tuesday, 56 percent of the NY cases were in NYC, nearly all of them in metro NYC with the exception of a known anomalous outbreak in Westchester County.
In California and other Western states, the numbers are very much driven by the homeless population. Roughly half the cases in San Francisco are among the homeless.
We need to tailor the quarantine to where it’s needed most, and that will dictate the economic outcomes.
look at NYS stats...just about all the deaths are in two counties in the NYC area....why not just close those areas off....
Exactly.
Exactly.