Yes, but that's only a rise of 20%... after 4 days since the 14th... 5% per day average seems like a plateau after their run from MAR 6 to MAR 14 rising from 778 to 3497... a 349% increase over 8 days, that an average of 44% per day... 5% is far below 44%... Sad for the 500 dead, but New Cases Reported IS tapering off, even so... or so I'm hoping.
What you are seeing all around the world is curve flattening effects.
If this was allowed to run free we’d still be seeing exponential growth. Not enough people have been infected to create an inflection point. But all the containment efforts together are having an effect. It’s like kicking the feet out from under the virus, over and over and over. Yeah, it gets back up, but it has to start over again. That is what the containment efforts do, even though individually they are futile - everybody is going to be exposed, eventually, just, thank God, not all at once - all together they slow the virus’ spread.
You are making it hard for yourself calculating percentage. Look at the logarithmic scale. It's hard to tell if Italy is continuing on constant exponential, or if the line is curving to the right, meaning slower growth. Reporting has a lot to do with it.
Yes italy has had 13 percent growth in new cases for 3 days now. It is still exponential, justs lower.
The growth rate drops below 20 percent per day, 8 days after total lockdown.
Same as China - after 8 day lockdown, low teen growth.
If you believe China’s numbers they got to zero new cases today, about 7 weeks after lockdown.