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To: IndispensableDestiny

According to your 10 fold increase every 8 days standard, we should reach 100,000,000 cases by April 12 (if my calendar counting is correct).

330,000,000 should only be a few days after that (assuming that really is the population of the US).

There has to be a peak in there somewhere. The only question is when that will happen.

What is your guess?


103 posted on 03/19/2020 4:06:53 AM PDT by Fresh Wind (The Electoral College is the firewall protecting us from massive blue state vote fraud.)
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To: Fresh Wind

I should have said a peak in new cases.


104 posted on 03/19/2020 4:15:22 AM PDT by Fresh Wind (The Electoral College is the firewall protecting us from massive blue state vote fraud.)
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To: Fresh Wind
There has to be a peak in there somewhere. The only question is when that will happen. What is your guess?

I'm not guessing at that. The cumulative number of cases follows a logistics curve. Early growth is exponential but then inflects and tops out. It's plain to see after the fact on a linear axis. On the logarithmic axis, the straight line of exponential grow will start bending to the right.


122 posted on 03/19/2020 9:08:04 AM PDT by IndispensableDestiny
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