Posted on 03/18/2020 3:14:35 AM PDT by cba123
Where do you get 4%? The number I’ve seen is 1.4% And it’s probably much lower because so few people have been tested. It’s likely that many people have already had it without really knowing and gotten well. Tom Hanks didn’t croak despite being in a vulnerable category.
As compared to over 60 million infections from the H1N1 virus in the US alone under the Obama/Biden regime.
I calculate it from the Johns Hopkins tracking numbers:
https://www.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6 (Refresh the webpage for the latest numbers.)
As of this post, the numbers stand at 8007 deaths and 201,634 cases. 8007 / 201634 = 0.0397, or 3.97%.
Out of nearly 8,000,000,000 people
Ummmmm. NO!
We were lucky in that the H1N1 of 2009 was not nearly as deadly as its 1919 cousin. The H1N1 is still circulating and still causing elevated flu deaths.
Um, yes. Calculate for yourself, I got the numbers from Johns Hopkins:
https://www.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6 (Refresh for latest numbers.)
Death rate = # of deaths divided by # of cases, multiplied by 100 to get a percentage.
You cant do that.
86% SHOW NO SYMPTOMS.
That’s not how you calculate lethality because the number of KNOWN cases is not the number of ACTUAL cases. Maybe this will calm you down a bit.
https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/16/lower-coronavirus-death-rate-estimates/
Actually, I can. I just did.
Notice that I am not calling my calculation a case fatality rate, because that can only be determined after the fact. But it *is* most definitely the on-going death rate.
No, I am not going to invent shadowy unproven asymptomatic cases to inflate the denominator to make the death rate a smaller, more acceptable number. I only work with proven data.
so far we have 200,000 cases worldwide . That does. it translate to millions of deaths in the US alone. Yes it is a serious situation but everyone needs to take a breath
I will not include estimates in any calculation, because they are not based on verified data. This means that I will not invent asymptomatic cases just to inflate the denominator to make an unverified (but no doubt less concerning) lower death rate.
On a related note, are you okay with the left’s efforts to change the census from an actual count to a statistical estimation, as they have been trying to do? How about moving from elections to statistical determinations of who should win?
Won’t happen. You as a doctor know that psycho paranoids insist on infecting everyone else with their panic.
It translates to millions of deaths if allowed to spread uncontrolled, since no one has any immunity to it. Preventing this is the whole purpose of social distancing, increasing hand washing, etc.
Bullshit.
Ah, you’re right, thanks! Even so, the media has blown this incredibly far out of proportion.
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