This is absolutely great!
One question. Can we believe the numbers from China? They’ve been stuck at about 80K for at least a week. I find that hard to believe!
So the delve in the numbers from China, the data I reported starts with 557 cases (reason why the time to 6000 it +7 days). The original data starts with 557 cases. In all cases of the other countries it takes 6 - 8 days to go from 100 - 500 cases to it extrapolates.
I am not sure I believe the China data, but it is reported. I do believe the other data from South Korea (I find this to be the best and most reliable and from the beginning have used this data as the true trajectory). The Italian data, US data I think are solid. We have six different models that have fascinating parallels.