“Here is a link to the IDEA equation if you want to read about it. I think you will see why people think this approach works. Its at science direct and there is a pdf link at the top of the page:
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1755436516300305";
Excellent article — on Ebola! Where is his analysis of Wuhan? I, for one, would be interested in seeing that work. In the meantime, the doc’s back of the envelope sure makes sense to me. In my opinion, a few more days of Italy reports will provide us with an excellent clue if he is correct (canary in the coal mine).
“Excellent article-—on Ebola!”
Excuse me. I offered this as an example of the methodology. I thought you would understand that the same approach is in place today.