The serious flaw in these calculations and graphs is they fail to normalize for population. Spain, France, Italy, Iran and South Korea have populations in the 50 - 60 million range. The US has over 300 million. Choosing a flex point of 100 cases for the other countries equates to roughly 500 cases in the US. Also significant in evaluating the US is the fact that between 20 and 30 cases were imported from China or cruise ships. That number would not create a significant deviation at 500 - 600 case flex point but is highly significant at 100 cases.
The methodology applied is commendable but fails to account for all significant variable with respect to the US.
I see your point, but I disagree. The populations affected thus far in the United States are that of South Korea and the other countries. There are vast swaths of rural counties unaffected yielding a relatively normalized population. In my home state (I have access to the immediately updated numbers) Less than half of the counties are reporting cases, albeit rural counties.
I respectfully disagree and think this has been accounted for.
“ The serious flaw in these calculations......”
I’m not sure I agree. Wuhuan has a population of 11M and is ground zero in China. He used China in is analysis.