Defective math. This is what happens when one takes great liberties in assuming variables that are not assumable while ignoring numbers that ARE available - then reading in assumptions.
Thank you.
However the screaming pearl clutcher’s will never stop. They can’t help themselves they are all natural born hystrionic personalities.
Have you noticed that many of the gloom and doom “experts” will not reveal the assumptions driving their predictions and recommendations. With US data sets being so small and problematic because of sometimes unique circumstance surrounding actual hospitalizations and deaths, the predictions of necessity must be more dependent on assumptions than on data.
People who urge a more measured approach to the problem (i.e., measures short of Martial Law Lite) are ridiculed as trivializing the problem. That is simply not true, the merchants of hysteria are simply setting up a straw man so that they can knock it down in order to avoid engaging in rational, measured debate.
How many times have we seen “expert predictions” of CAT 5 hurricanes only to see a tropical depression as the actual outcome or the “light dusting” of snow forecast followed by an “unpredictable” generational blizzard. In my 70 year life I have seen irrevocable “death sentences” issued by medical experts result in my having lived seventy years. I witnessed my grandfather die prematurely by following “expert cardiological advice” that a dermatology resident at a mediocre medical center would recognize as gross negligence by today’s standards.
I suspect that a number of us will die in the near or intermediate future from an overdose of “expert opinion”. Such as our hundreds of thousands of deaths in the US from “on label” use of pharmaceuticals and comparable numbers of premature deaths from “medical errors”. The Christians among us might want to consider whether we worship God or at the altar of “experts” approved by big government.
Absolutely right! But it’s hard to convince people of the modeling and how these types of articles are not accounting for all day or real world variables.
The medical experts at today's briefing basically said the same.
We best err on the side of caution at least in the short term. If you don’t believe the threat is real, please play along with those who do for just a couple weeks. We should know a lot more come early April. Hopefully the worriers will be proved wrong.
I realize this is serious, but it is being overblown...IMO.
The real lasting impact after the virus dies off...the global economy.
Yes! Thank you. Here are some of those available numbers.
And here's some more food for thought I posted on another thread:
Deaths by age, sex, comorbidity (pre-existing conditions)
ACE Inhibitors and Coronavirus
Is it possible Rush was right and we've essentially shut down the country over a severe cold virus that becomes deadly because of a common medication the elderly are using to control hypertension/heart rate issues?
Seems to me like someone should be looking at the pharmaceutical histories of the deceased.
He posted this very long and complex post and you responded just 5 minutes later. So if you saw it and responded JUST as he posted it you had five minutes to read it,analyze it, come up with opinion and post your opinion.
Considering the length and scope of the article I'm thinking that you didn't read it at all and just shot from the hip based on what you already believe.