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Can the alarmist here now stop claiming the death rate in China is 3.4%

I'm in no way saying that any of this is correct. But I am thinking about this with as open a mind as possible.

If the death rate in China is reported at 3.4%, but we hypothetically assume that this is only based on 14% of cases being detected. Then we could roughly multiply 3.4% by 14% and get a death rate of .476% right?

Can the alarmist here now stop claiming the death rate in China is 3.4%? This study proves its nowhere near that.

This "study" used computer modeling to guess how many people might have gotten the virus, but had no symptoms. Which is impossible to tell, they can set the infection / interaction rate to any numbers to get the final result they want. And likely using Chinese official numbers for part of the formula, and Lord knows those can't be trusted at all. Garbage in, Garbage out.

The most accurate one we have would be South Korea, who has done the most extensive testing of the wider populace, which means many of these stealth infections can be confirmed as infections. Right now, they have 84 deaths and 8400 cases, meaning their MINIMUM death rate is 1%, if every single case recovers. So far, they have 1540 recoveries, so the current fatality rate is at 5.2%, so that means, given the current SK situation, their final fatality rate will likely be between 1% and 5%. (Unlikely to be higher, as recoveries lag deaths so they shouldn't see a death spike any higher than the current death to recovery CFR.)

I would bet cold hard cash that China's actual numbers are more than that, probably double or triple, if not larger.