Very realistic when you study the 2009 H1N1 Virus....60 million American infections and 18,000 deaths. Obama was a great president.
It was unlikely any major country was going to avoid an eventual spread to a good part of the population; only if the virus mutates itself to death, or it is extremely susceptible to summer temps, could you avoid it. It was too asymptomatic and low-symptom to catch every person who had it, even if you had testing (would you run out to get tested right now, assuming you are sitting at home and have no symptoms, feel fine, no fever, and don’t think you touched anybody who was at risk)?
We will be happy to have 60 million people infected, and 200,000 deaths, if those deaths are primarily among the over-70 population, of which 1.8 million die every year anyway. That 200,000 will be a blip in the statistics, one year it will jump maybe to 2 million, and then for the next 10 years, it will be 1.75 instead of 1.8.