You tell me where the problem is?
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Call me back in a couple of months. Wildfires start out very small. But if they double in size ever 2-3 days for months you will have an uncontrollable fire on your hands.
If we could hold the virus at the infection level it is currently at your analysis would be correct. Unfortunately we cannot. The measures Trump is putting in place are only intended to slow it down and to keep the peak number of infections as low as possible.
In 2009 we had 60,000,000 infections of Swine Flu in the U.S. That is not a typo, 60 million. In that case the fatality rate was very low. I have read there were between 12,000 and 18,000 deaths.
Get out you calculator and multiply 60,000,000 times 1%. You would get 600,000 deaths. And right now the death rate looks much higher but the experts tell us they expect something like 1% in the long run. And these deaths would come to pass over a period of a few months. It would be overwhelming.
And at the rate we are going 60,000,000 is not out of the question. Hopefully the Trump measures will slow it way down and we will never reach that peak.
Rush is, unfortunately, wrong. He has been wrong quite a bit lately. Didn’t he tell us the the Joe Biden candidacy was dead, dead, dead?
Good post! To many people focusing on raw death numbers...more important are the spread rate and “seriousness” (hospitalization/intubation/ventilation) stats of COVID-19.