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To: Buckeye McFrog
AH! You did the math! Good.

Now the rest of the story...

The initial data from China showed similar sky high numbers.

It then dropped to much more reasonable numbers. That pattern repeated at several locations. I don't know why that happens, but I do know THAT it happens. Perhaps it's the more vulnerable have a quick outcome? Or maybe it's a fluke due to a thin data set? 46 completed cases in a country of 350,000,000? That's really not a statistically meaningful sample.

World wide, the deaths/completed cases has been hovering around 6%. That's high, but it's not so high as to be a civilization killer.

We'll get through this.

42 posted on 03/12/2020 1:29:49 PM PDT by null and void (By the pricking of my lungs, Something wicked this way comes ...)
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To: null and void

You can’t even begin to get an accurate death rate until after you’ve done enough testing to have a reasonably accurate number of infected who did NOT die for the denominator.

We have not done anywhere remotely close to that much testing.

Denominator. I was a C math student but I stayed awake long enough to learn THAT much.

And my piehole is just fine thank you.


48 posted on 03/12/2020 1:33:24 PM PDT by Buckeye McFrog (Patrick Henry would have been an anti-vaxxer)
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