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To: Cboldt
Dr. Fauchi just testified in Congress (live C-SPAN3 right now) that COVID19 death rate is about 1%, compared with influenza at about 0.1%. Ten times more deadly.

Based upon known cases with very little testing. As testing confirms more cases this death rate will come down.

119 posted on 03/11/2020 8:24:06 AM PDT by AU72
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To: AU72
-- Based upon known cases with very little testing. --

As well as based on what is likely a risk-averse personality who is in a very public spotlight. Better to err on the side of caution, eh?

WH is saying the meeting at WH is not an emergency but previously scheduled, but doctor/witness staff said they were unaware of schedule.

Maloney is going to recess hearing, wants to reconvene at 2 pm. She doesn;t want to ear any facts about whether or not the WH meeting was scheduled.

Congress is determined to elevate the panic.

124 posted on 03/11/2020 8:34:44 AM PDT by Cboldt
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To: AU72
Based upon known cases with very little testing. As testing confirms more cases this death rate will come down.

Problem is, the testing will confirm more cases, or in other words, more spreading of the virus. Given so little testing so far, that (more confirmed cases) will be the dominant factor. For example, 8x more confirmed cases times 0.25x the fatality rate = double the fatalities.

(Actual physical fatalities or cases won't change much - it's just how we look at the math. Greatly expanded testing will catch up with reality.)

Unfortunately, the same math works for cases needing hospitalization. If only 5% of confirmed cases need hospitalization (a quite lowball number) and only 4% of the population are confirmed infected at some point... We don't have the available hospital beds / treatment capacity. That will then push the fatality rate back up.

OTOH, we have some here essentially calling for a national lockdown and martial law. IMO that would kill more people than the virus. We are less prepared for the repercussions of those type actions than we are prepared for the virus. Granted that some of the preps are the same or similar.

190 posted on 03/11/2020 11:30:21 AM PDT by Paul R. (The Lib / Socialist goal: Total control of nothing left wort h controlling.)
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