As far as ramping mask production up, the government has a contract with 3M to produce 36 million masks a month.
That’s not enough, but if the CV patients can be isolated from other patients, not all 18M healthcare workers will be needing masks. In fact a lot of them might never need to see a CV patient.
I’m sure 3M will be planning on more demand than just the feds. And I’m also sure other companies will be producing masks.
One of the ramifications of CV, might be stress on health insurance companies, unless the FED steps in an absorbs the cost.
If we did get 1,000,000 cases, and 15% of them needed hospitalization, that’s 150,000 cases at $1500/day
hospital stay for 3 weeks. That’s $675 million hit.
If the cost is $3000 that’s $1.3 Trillion. ICU is $4k a day.
Are health insurance companies going to go bankrupt?
Are they going to start denying care, because they just can’t pay?
How much does a hospital overflow tent cost? $1500.
What about a Coronavirus Hotel? (Seattle bought one, but it’s got legal troubles already)
Is it unreasonable to suggest MASH-like units in the southwest with air conditioned tents to deal with a large scale outbreak?
I can’t help believing this is an engineered virus that China let loose to attack the US to try to take down Trump in the 2020 election. They don’t care about their own people and don’t care about short term economic effects. Communists play a long game of attrition.
Another scenario is that they’re testing the efficacy of such an engineered virus as a weapon, measuring how quickly the virus can immobalize the US while gauging how the US responds and what weaknesses are revealed in our medical and logistics systems, not recognizing that our military are quick learners; nor recognizing that Trump is a master logistician.
A country that night and day is looking to destroy us militarily, politically and economically and we're shipping them N 95 masks.
“If we did get 1,000,000 cases, and 15% of them needed hospitalization, thats 150,000 cases at $1500/day
hospital stay for 3 weeks. Thats $675 million hit.”
What I think would really happen is that the health care system would get 100% booked to capacity .vs. say 70-90% today. Some of those treated patients will not have insurance and the government (you and me) will pay. The rest of the available capacity’s cost will be paid by private insurance.
Most patients will self treat at home and not cost the heath care insurance companies much money. A far greater proportion of those patients will die, but the health insurances companies will not be paying for their care.
However, the $1500/day is based on occupancy factors and staff loading under normal average conditions, while in a pandemic situation the staff and facilities, and the associated cost, can by necessity not be scaled up significantly but will be spread over a much larger patient load. I would hope and expect that the governments public health emergency declaration contains provisions for imposing special treatment of per patient cost.