If you look at the cards dealt....Turkey wants the EU/NATO to sign onto some massive military operation to push out Assad, and put in some pro-Turkey ‘dictator’ without any attachment to Russia.
“Turkey wants the EU/NATO to sign onto some massive military operation to push out Assad,”
I think you’re correct. Perhaps if this was ten years ago the EU would have Merkeled it’s way out of this by paying huge sums and giving military aid, but no troops. I don’t see them, even then, getting into a land war. At the present time, however, the EU has, quite literally, run out of other people’s money. The stress of Brexit, Covid-19, bad demographics, an ongoing and never ending PIGS financial crisis and a myriad of other problems means they are impotent.
Yesterday, I saw a news bite that the Greeks had towed a raft out to the international limit and left it there. The solution to this crisis will be supplied by the weakness of the countries on the front line. Bullets and barbed wire are cheap. I can, for the first time, imagine “refugees” being rounded up and unceremoniously dumped back in Turkey.
If this crisis continues for very long it may be the straw that break’s the EU’s back.