To: Enlightened1
I’ve been pointing this out! The Coronavirus Groupies ask us to ignore this while they tell us with a straight face that COVID-19 “is more deadly!”
They will NOT deal with the actual numbers in a meaningful way! All they can do is provide conjecture and fear! It’s like dealing with hard core Leftists trying to convince us about the destruction coming from Globull Warming!
I’m weary of this sh*t already!
49 posted on
03/01/2020 7:09:43 PM PST by
Artcore
(Trump 2020!)
To: Artcore
They will NOT deal with the actual numbers in a meaningful way!
Says someone responding to methodology akin to dumping a bin of watermelons off a tall building and counting splatters before they’ve hit the ground - then comparing them to the number of splatters from a dumptruck-full they dumped off the building yesterday.
The proper equation is the number of dead, divided by the number of infected who have recovered. Early in the cycle that number is indeed higher than the final number because it generally takes longer to recover than to die - but it is at least intermediate to the final number rather than being irrelevant.
Dividing dead by infected during the spread of the disease isn’t meaningful.
As example, using that method:
If you were to replace Coronavirus with Ricin, and inject 100 people with a dose which would kill 100% in a week, then every day double the number of people you give the injection, after one week you would have a fatality/injection ratio of 0.8% (100/12,700), for a 100% fatal toxin.
53 posted on
03/01/2020 7:33:19 PM PST by
lepton
("It is useless to attempt to reason a man out of a thing he was never reasoned into"--Jonathan Swift)
To: Artcore
Ive been pointing this out! The Coronavirus Groupies ask us to ignore this while they tell us with a straight face that COVID-19 is more deadly!
They will NOT deal with the actual numbers in a meaningful way! All they can do is provide conjecture and fear! Its like dealing with hard core Leftists trying to convince us about the destruction coming from Globull Warming!
Im weary of this sh*t already!
Um, it is definitely more deadly. Here's a bunch of 'actual numbers' for you, since apparently you've skipped all the threads they've been posted on, and can't do some basic research on your own.
Johns Hopkins CoVid-19 Case Tracker
The current John Hopkins numbers have 3,044 deaths and 45,074 recoveries. This gives us a total CFR of
6.3%.
If we look at the non-Chinese numbers, we should get a (somewhat) more accurate picture since the Chinese numbers are completely bogus. That currently has 132 deaths, with 617 recoveries. So our current, non-Chinese fatality rate is at
17.6%.
Even if we use incorrect math and take deaths / cases, we have 132/9046 giving us a (wrong) death rate of 1.46%. Which is still almost 3x deadlier than the flu.
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