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To: ETCM

Re: “Has there been any flu that significantly exceeded 0.1% in the past 50 years?”

In the USA, the mortality rate for an “average” flu season is 0.2%.

The CDC uses statistical models to estimate the final mortality, so the margin of error is probably significant.

In the 1918-20 Spanish Flu epidemic - in the USA - the mortality rate was 2.5%.

The great killer was the “infection rate” - which was 30%.


111 posted on 02/27/2020 3:59:55 PM PST by zeestephen
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To: zeestephen

I see a couple that reach 0.17%, but not 0.2%, and most are lower, as is the average obviously. Still, that is above 0.1. Most other models I have seen, put the US Flu/Pneumonia mortality at 0.1% and below.

The CDC also estimates over 15% are hospitalized. That number also seems high to me. But they obviously know more than I do...


112 posted on 02/27/2020 4:26:48 PM PST by ETCM
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