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To: MNJohnnie

Actual is .01? Where do you get that from?

The real fatality rate is currently around 9%, assuming China’s numbers are close to accurate, which I highly doubt they are. Probably closer to 20-25%.


107 posted on 02/27/2020 2:08:51 PM PST by Svartalfiar
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To: Svartalfiar
Re: "The real fatality rate is currently around 9%"

Corona virus went international more than six weeks ago.

There are 210 confirmed cases in the USA, Canada, northern Europe, Australia, and New Zealand.

So far, just two fatalities - both of them in France.

Only people with obvious symptoms are being tested in those countries.

It is very hard to believe that 9% of those 210 confirmed cases are going to die in the next few weeks.

109 posted on 02/27/2020 3:33:52 PM PST by zeestephen
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To: Svartalfiar

I keep seeing people grossly overstating flu mortality (has there been any flu that significantly exceeded 0.1% in the past 50 years?), and grossly understating COVID-19 mortality, which appears to be near 2% at best, and possibly over 5% depending if you include the many unresolved cases as survivors or ignore them until they “resolve”.

Obviously, better care, new treatments, etc could change everything. Singapore seems to be the gold standard right now, but not enough cases to be statistically significant.


110 posted on 02/27/2020 3:36:49 PM PST by ETCM
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