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To: palmer
It's deaths divided by the sum of deaths and recoveries. These raw data were taken from Johns Hopkins. I calculated two death rates. (1) deaths/confirmed cases and (2) death/(deaths + recovered). The later rate appears to be asymptotic.

The formating is a bit messy, but it is the best I can do.


Total Confirmed

Total Recovered

Total Deaths

Rate (D/C)

Rate (D/(D+R)

1/22/20

555

28

17

3.06%

37.78%

1/23/20

653

30

18

2.76%

37.50%

1/24/20

941

36

26

2.76%

41.94%

1/25/20

1434

39

42

2.93%

51.85%

1/26/20

2118

52

56

2.64%

51.85%

1/27/20

2927

61

82

2.80%

57.34%

1/28/20

5578

107

131

2.35%

55.04%

1/29/20

6166

126

133

2.16%

51.35%

1/30/20

8234

143

171

2.08%

54.46%

1/31/20

9927

222

213

2.15%

48.97%

2/1/20

12038

284

259

2.15%

47.70%

2/2/20

16787

472

362

2.16%

43.41%

2/3/20

19881

623

426

2.14%

40.61%

2/4/20

23892

852

492

2.06%

36.61%

2/5/20

27636

1124

564

2.04%

33.41%

2/6/20

30818

1487

634

2.06%

29.89%

2/7/20

34392

2011

719

2.09%

26.34%

2/8/20

37121

2616

806

2.17%

23.55%

2/9/20

40151

3244

906

2.26%

21.83%

2/10/20

42763

3946

1013

2.37%

20.43%

2/11/20

44803

4683

1113

2.48%

19.20%

2/12/20

45222

5150

1118

2.47%

17.84%

2/13/20

60370

6295

1371

2.27%

17.88%

2/14/20

66887

8058

1523

2.28%

15.90%

2/15/20

69032

9395

1666

2.41%

15.06%

2/16/20

71226

10865

1770

2.49%

14.01%

2/17/20

73260

12583

1868

2.55%

12.93%

2/18/20

75138

14352

2007

2.67%

12.27%

2/19/20

75641

16121

2122

2.81%

11.63%

2/20/20

76199

18177

2247

2.95%

11.00%

2/21/20

76843

18890

2251

2.93%

10.65%

2/22/20

78599

22886

2458

3.13%

9.70%

2/23/20

78985

23394

2469

3.13%

9.55%

2/24/20

79570

25227

2629

3.30%

9.44%


255 posted on 02/25/2020 3:39:28 PM PST by IndispensableDestiny
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 254 | View Replies ]


To: IndispensableDestiny

It seems to me that your numbers do not take into account
those who are confirmed and are neither recovered or dead.
(those who still have it)
Perhaps I misunderstand your chart.


256 posted on 02/25/2020 3:49:05 PM PST by Repeal The 17th (Get out of the matrix and get a real life.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 255 | View Replies ]

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