That is my read as well—I expect SC to be close, but if I had to bet I would on Bernie squeaking by Biden.
Momentum is _very_ important for low information primary voters.
I also agree with the comments here that the Democratic primary voter is _very_ left wing. They are the activists and fanatics from one of the rabid “rights” groups—they turn out for primaries and non-Presidential year elections.
General election voters in an election year tend to be less ideological as a whole, and that is why turnout is so critical in a presidential election.
Special Memo from MplsSteve to Amy and Liz:
Please stay in this race. Don’t look at the polls! America wants you and needs you in this race as long as possible. You must get your message out at all costs! You are the vanguard of breaking the glass walls (or ceilings or whatever the hell they are) of sexism and misogynism that exists in this country.
Keep raising lots and lots of money! Keep fighting the good fight!