That ~60k is the number of "confirmed" cases in Hubei province. The number of infected persons is surely far higher, although a good chunk of those may be mild or asymptomatic cases (which cuts both ways.)
Also, IMO, I think the Chinese effort "could" hold the fatality rate in Hubei province to under 10% of confirmed cases IF the spread can be slowed enough. But that assumes the containment efforts of the last couple weeks can be sustained until, oh, mid-Spring. That seems nearly impossible, especially as the numbers infected in other provinces grow.
Well, we can be certain for any number of reasons that the Chinese numbers are bullshit.
There are undoubtedly many cases that are not reported because they are too mild.
There are undoubtedly many cases that don’t get reported because the victim died before they could get tested and therefore died from “something else”.
I would say that these cases are not counted proportionately, meaning that the numbers derived from the reported cases are correct in terms of ratios like recovery rates and mortality rates, even if the magnitude of the outbreak is disguised, but for one concern: the Chinese are almost certainly “harvesting” milder cases for the purpose of boosting their statistics. Everywhere except in Hubei Province where the medical infrastructure has collapsed and none of the data is believable any more.
So there you have it.
Based on reports from outside of China, you have a 100% chance of survival in any country except Taiwan, France, Philippines or Japan. In those four countries you have a 95%, 92%, 67% and 98% chance of survival (so far, based on cases, not recoveries). But even so, Japan looks to be on the verge of catastrophe and many of the other countries are unreliable.
And we still have no idea what’s going on in Africa or Central America, both regions having numerous Chinese and not even one case of the sniffles. Right.