Posted on 02/15/2020 8:19:12 AM PST by DoodleBob
And a counterpoint...Bring Out Your Dead
Post to me or FReep mail to be on/off the Bring Out Your Dead ping list.
The purpose of the Bring Out Your Dead ping list (formerly the Ebola ping list) is very early warning of emerging pandemics, as such it has a high false positive rate.
So far the false positive rate is 100%.
At some point we may well have a high mortality pandemic, and likely as not the Bring Out Your Dead threads will miss the beginning entirely.
*sigh* Such is life, and death...
If a quarantine saves just one child's life, it's worth it.
“realistically, the data are very, very uncertain”
Economists have a special way of speaking. They are able to say absolutely nothing in a way that has half the readers thinking one thing, and the other half thinking the opposite.
[ That, and the central banks already said they will print money to cover this. ]
Excellent! We can always print as much money as we need!
Alan Greenspan said so! It must be true and safe!
The author only mentioned supply chains in passing twice. The real problem is not where the end-sales are generated; it's where you source your raw materials, subassemblies, and assembled products from. If this persists and continues exponential growth in China, supply chain disruptions could become bigger than anything we've ever witnessed. At what point will domestic firms get back into manufacturing parts and subassemblies? How long will it take to ramp that up?
Wow, last week a mere fraction of normal.
But I think I read Shanghai and Beijing are not big manufacturing cities, so the chinese were tightening restrictions there even as they reduced restrictions on factory cities.
Still interesting way to monitor them.
Try this one:
https://www.tomtom.com/en_gb/traffic-index/chongqing-traffic
Chongqing is a VERY large (34.5 million) administrative/manufacturing/transportation center.
Set filter on [Last 7 Days]
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.