Posted on 02/11/2020 5:21:10 AM PST by TigerClaws
The coronavirus epidemic could spread to about two-thirds of the worlds population if it cannot be controlled, according to Hong Kongs leading public health epidemiologist.
His warning came after the head of the World Health Organization (WHO) said recent cases of coronavirus patients who had never visited China could be the tip of the iceberg.
Prof Gabriel Leung, the chair of public health medicine at Hong Kong University, said the overriding question was to figure out the size and shape of the iceberg. Most experts thought that each person infected would go on to transmit the virus to about 2.5 other people. That gave an attack rate of 60-80%.
Sixty per cent of the worlds population is an awfully big number, Leung told the Guardian in London, en route to an expert meeting at the WHO in Geneva on Tuesday.
Even if the general fatality rate is as low as 1%, which Leung thinks is possible once milder cases are taken into account, the death toll would be massive.
He will tell the WHO meeting that the main issue is the scale of the growing worldwide epidemic and the second priority is to find out whether the drastic measures taken by China to prevent the spread have worked because if so, other countries should think about adopting them.
The Geneva meeting brings together more than 400 researchers and national authorities, including some participating by video conference from mainland China and Taiwan. With 99% of cases in China, this remains very much an emergency for that country, but one that holds a very grave threat for the rest of the world, the WHO director-general Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus said in his opening remarks. To date China has reported 42,708 confirmed cases, including 1,017 deaths, Tedros said.
(Excerpt) Read more at theguardian.com ...
Hmmm... Tell that to the people of China... I'm sure they could use some of that optimism... It makes me feel better... A little... :)
Watching You tube videos, Wuhan has 49 crematoriums that have been running 24 hours for the last 19 days, non stop, that is 1,200 bodies a day. The air quality testing shows a lot is being burned, indicating humans, but no industry. Don’t know the chemical term for this, but it was mentioned. Breitbart. v
Sad but true, I have seen the videos, one Chinese reporter who was documenting this is now missing,
from what I am hearing it is 16 percent, not one.
I am, for a change, at a loss for words. For what you have gone through, to still maintain such strong faith puts you on a very high level, spiritually speaking. Job didnt have much on you, and your example is very inspiring.
May you enjoy continued good health and live to 120.
Thanks for those comments. But the trite old saying “what doesn’t kill you makes you stronger. I have had so many Doctors comment on the fact that there is no way I should be alive is always uplifting. Several of them have said that I just make them look good...However, always give the credit to the ultimate healer. I am still here because my work is not done. The minute it is, then I will be ready to walk through the door to the world to come. Gladly.
I would add one thing to those statements. I became friends with a Holocaust survivor. His name is Moshe Avital. He has written several books on the subject (just google him), of which I have read all of them. Our conversations always made me put things in a better perspective, almost to the point of saying in reference to your Job comment, What troubles are you talking about? I discuss openly with Dr. Avital about his experiences, and I realize that all of the pain and suffering pales by comparison to others, and in spite of it all, HE walked away in 1945 a better person. He was chosen for his purposes as well. In fact, he has never overcome the ‘survivor’ guilt that so many of them have. I always believe that no matter what happens to us (and me) in this lifetime is temporary, and as the Bible says, G-d will wipe all of our tears away....
The great news is Ill be voting Republican for at least a few more elections. LOL!!!
Only infects Chinese...
I have the same feeling. Poeple think it’s the flu or even SARS.
But that might be a good thing. No panic. That’s why China is lying to its people — keep them in check, or there’d be food riots, economic collapse, you name it.
Today, two days after China officially returned to work, we got the first confirmation of just how catastrophic Beijing's order to local enterprises and businesses to rush back reboot the economy could be, when Jennifer Zeng reported that a company in Suzhou reopened, and immediately at least one CoVid2019 case found. As a result, the company's 200+ employees couldn't go home and were immediately placed under quarantine. At least the workers managed to "organize" quilts for themselves.
I don’t disagree with you that we need to take precautions. The scriptures are consistent with that, especially the references to the plague of leprosy, etc...
But the account you have referenced doesn’t match what the God of heaven wrote about the parting of the Red sea.
Who are you going to believe...the one who parted the Red sea Himself, or the ones He created, but who wrote about it long after?
It took quite a while for the waters to dry up, and it didn’t happen because someone jumped in: read the truth and learn -
Exodus 14
16 But lift thou up thy rod, and stretch out thine hand over the sea, and divide it: and the children of Israel shall go on dry ground through the midst of the sea.
17 And I, behold, I will harden the hearts of the Egyptians, and they shall follow them: and I will get me honour upon Pharaoh, and upon all his host, upon his chariots, and upon his horsemen.
18 And the Egyptians shall know that I am the LORD, when I have gotten me honour upon Pharaoh, upon his chariots, and upon his horsemen.
19 And the angel of God, which went before the camp of Israel, removed and went behind them; and the pillar of the cloud went from before their face, and stood behind them:
20 And it came between the camp of the Egyptians and the camp of Israel; and it was a cloud and darkness to them, but it gave light by night to these: so that the one came not near the other all the night.
21 ¶ And Moses stretched out his hand over the sea; and the LORD caused the sea to go back by a strong east wind all that night, and made the sea dry land, and the waters were divided.
22 And the children of Israel went into the midst of the sea upon the dry ground: and the waters were a wall unto them on their right hand, and on their left.
23 And the Egyptians pursued, and went in after them to the midst of the sea, even all Pharaohs horses, his chariots, and his horsemen.
There is silence in the scriptures about the parting of the “reed sea”, so I am *highly* skeptical. Best not to add to the word of God...
Proverbs 30
6 Add thou not unto his words, lest he reprove thee, and thou be found a liar.
In the 70s, airline attendants would spray us in the interior of the plane before deboarding into the US from Spain.
I see by replies to your remark others did not approve.
I was about to say similar to your remark.
The title says “could” infect 60%. Could, as in tomorrow it “could” snow, or tomorrow the stock market “could” crash. It’s a prediction.
Now this is more real than the climate change crap, but it’s still a prediction. And one of the purposes of the media is to scare people. Two cases in point, the media has been trying to scare people away from Trump and scare people about being dead in 11 years.
So my point is, your comment is 100% correct.
The spray is going to kill more people and probably is ineffective. It is almost impossible to disinfect a virus save from dissolving it in bleach or something
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