Using American death rates (0.8% of total popluation), the number of “natural” or typical deaths in Wuhan, population 11 million would be about 250 EACH DAY.
To close a city like this over 250 in a month (or a few weeks) would be crazy.
So, if you usually have 250 dead in a day, what number makes you close a city of 11 million? Another 10 people a day? 20? 200? (Today I read that 400 million Chinese are under quarantine/lockdown. USA population is ~ 340 million.)
At 774 virus-related over 5 weeks, it’s a bit more than 22 a day deaths. But let me point this out: of the 131 admitted patients in the JAMA study paper, 40 were caregivers. That’s a lot of staff to take out in one hospital in one month. So then you play with numbers like 40 caregivers x Xhospitals x XLocations x XMonths. With a recovery of up to 35 days or more, you’re going to have nursing and doctor and lab people shortages in no time. And how many will charge back into the fire after they recover? We have infection transmission problems, we have disinfection problems and a treatment plan is completely out the window. And that’s enough to close down a city until you find the point of infection or reduce the rate of infection to lower than R1.