[datura]

He had 16 contacts returning from the airport on public transportation. The local news says he is able to talk - which tells me he is off of the ventilator? He’s in his 30s with no underlying health issues, but is still in the hospital after 11 days.

[21twelve]

Thanks for that accurate number. I suppose some of them might get it, but interesting how this guy didn’t seem to spread it much, and the German case is spreading.

Below is the article posted by blueplum on another thread regarding the improving Seattle guy.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/health/health-news/first-case-of-coronavirus-in-us-patient-got-pneumonia-but-now-only-has-cough-study-says/ar-BBZwX7O?ocid=spartanntp

I’m really surprised, and glad, that there haven’t been any other cases reported in the Seattle area.

[BobL]

“He’s in his 30s with no underlying health issues, but is still in the hospital after 11 days.”

So much for this bug only severely affecting the elderly and/or people with compromised immune systems.

[palmer]

The 33-year-old man who contracted the virus lives near Starnberg, 30 kilometers (18 miles) south of Munich, and is in a "medically good state," according to the health authority.

That's very vague. But I'm going to assume for the moment that a healthy 33 year old has low risk. That was not the case in 1918-1919 but most fatalities back then could have been prevented with antibiotics as they were secondary bacterial pneumonia.

Also we still don't know how easily this is spread. He got it from his Chinese colleague. But with only 12k confirmed cases in China there are probably a lot more unconfirmed cases after 8 weeks. But we just don't know yet.