The Monte Carlo chart said there would be 11,090 229 deaths by today so it appears to be slowing.
The new update is just for Hubei province
those silly models assume everyone can be tested...and people taying home should slow it down
the concerning thing is the 70% of the new cases today cases today in Hubei province are outside the city Wahan
the concerning thing is the number of deaths are increasing...so this means people in critical are passing
24
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Re: rate of spread
Did anyone know that Wuhan had their annual food festival on Jan 20th just before quarantine? I didn’t. I think it’s called the feast of 10,000 and 40K are said to have attended this year. It’s supposed to be huge, with many booths.
Here’s a video from 2016:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M-pguV6GpWw
and a newspaper mention (AP):
Top city officials attended a Lunar New Year gala last week where performers were sniffling and sneezing, and thousands of people shared a community feast the same day the National Health Commission came to investigate a new viral outbreak.
https://www.wcjb.com/content/news/Wuhan-officials-face-anger-over-virus-response-as-countries-prepare-evacuation-567350711.html