[super7man]

The outcome of the disease is that you either die or you recover.
The statistics I saw said 133 dead, 126 recovered. It looks like about a 50% mortality rate to me. Of the 7000 that now are infected, 3500 are gunna die.

[tinyowl]

Well it might take 2 days to die but 10 days to recover ... or some other not equal length of time. In other words, if it took 30 days to recover, then your calc would suggest a 100% death rate because no one would have recovered yet.

Frankly I'm just doing calculations that right or wrong are probably based on BS numbers from China and BS assumptions on my part ... I would ignore me :-) ... sometimes thinking out loud is like littering.

[justa-hairyape]

It means that many of the infected are still hanging on barely in serious or critical condition. And we see that in those numbers.

[the OlLine Rebel]

That is just the ratio of dead to “recovered”, not NEARLY the mortality rate. Good God.

133/7000 (using your #s) = 2%.

Yours is like the false “divorce RATE” which it is NOT - “50% marriages end in divorce”. No, for every 2 marriages there is another divorce, meaning out of so many “couples” 1/3 ARE divorced (not TO BE divorced).