Actually, with those numbers, we’re probably just fine. There was a good sized flu outbreak between 25 NOV 2019 and 25 DEC 2019, quite a lot of it in the United States. It is quite possible that we’ve already had the first wave from this virus and the reason for the (relatively) low infection numbers of confirmed cases that we’re on the third wave of infection.
I don’t know for sure, to be honest, trying to follow infection rates hurts the brain after a very short period of time. The numbers identified in the early January report are just those who showed up at the hospital (and of course, were in the worst shape.)
But in any event, the horse left the barn weeks ago. I just happen to believe that it means infection rates are far lower than some were fearing (and mortality rates even lower.)
“There was a good sized flu outbreak between 25 NOV 2019 and 25 DEC 2019”
It had an R0 of about 1.3