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To: 11th_VA

This virus is much more lethal than a flu.


10 posted on 01/24/2020 7:12:04 PM PST by Clean_Sweep
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To: Clean_Sweep
This virus is much more lethal than a flu.

That’s my point. I’m not saying to be hysterical, but just be prepared for a totally new zeitgeist in about 6 weeks; affecting travel, commerce, etc.

Adapt, improvise, and overcome -

16 posted on 01/24/2020 7:33:08 PM PST by 11th_VA
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To: Clean_Sweep

If it has a 3-4% mortality. Rate and a near 100% infection rate.. thr means if he numbers hold, and there is no real way of knowing what the real number are at this point.. just the one city with 12 Million citizens will have more than 360,000-480,000 deaths. If the typical span from exposure to death is measured in weeks the city would be overwhelmed quickly:

Those are scary things to hear, but the most important word in all that at the moment is “if”...

We just don’t know the real rates of transmission or mortality.

If it turns out the number of infected isn’t 1100 but closer to 5000 with 42 deaths that’s a mortality rate of uber 1%. If it turns out the number of infected is 10000 with 42 deaths you are under 1/2 of a percent mortality rate.

What we do know is the virus has already been identified, isolated and sequenced..


18 posted on 01/24/2020 7:44:37 PM PST by HamiltonJay
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