I don’t think this virus has reached the logarithmic phase as of yet. The mortality rate is approaching 3% which is significant but a X factor of less than 1000. If it maintains this mortality rate with a high morbidity rate we will be looking at a true pandemic episode.
https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6
from here:
https://systems.jhu.edu/research/public-health/ncov/
if you click on hubei and look at the numbers, the recovered barely outpace the dead.
not encouraging. hopefully they’re vastly underreporting the recovered...