Posted on 01/24/2020 8:20:42 AM PST by Kaslin
I’ve had some fun with these. Sometimes I just make up shit to confound the pollsters. Back in the days when pollsters were using robocalls, I put my 8-year-old son on the phone and told him to answer whatever came into his mind. He indicated that he was a petite middle-aged woman of Japanese ancestry at one point. Once I was asked to take part in a lengthy phone poll that I quickly determined was a push-poll for one of the candidates for governor, guessed that the poll was on behalf of Dunleavy (who later won the election for Alaska governor), and then chided and joked with the pollster about it.
In a related matter, I also lie whenever I’m asked about my race or ethnicity. If someone calls me on it, I’ll respond that posing the question itself is a form of racism that needs to be confronted and defeated. There are no laws about false claims unless I benefit from the claim, which I don’t.
It’s good to know that Alinsky’s rules can and should be used against the left whenever I can.
Post-nomination, he never put Trump's chances iat less than 20%; he did early in the primaries put his odds at 5% or even less (based, as he later admitted, on no data whatsoever).
I stand self-corrected - 538 did have Trump’s chances as low as 11.9% as recently as mid-October. But they also had him at 49.9% at the end of July; the estimate went up and down over the course of the campaign as new polls came in. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
538 Does not do any polling,from what I understand Silver takes polling done and does some kind of analysis of it. I put no stock in anything Nate Silver puts out.
Not an option for me; I am a licensed real estate broker. I sometimes receive calls about my signs, folks referred to me by past clients, and from other agents. I do eliminate most of the autodialer calls by not speaking for 4-5 seconds. If there's a person there they usually give a tentative hello? after about three seconds. The autodialers hang up and move on to the next call.
Depends on the efficiency of the Democrat vote fraud machine this time around.
All polls are bullsh!t.
Because all people LIE.
I don’t believe what they say even when I MIGHT agree with it.
I like TRUMP, I voted for TRUMP, I will vote for TRUMP again!
If I ever have to throw a “but” in there to win some mendacious, whining, liberal, progressive, sh!tstains approval, that is the day I will quit voting.
Very hard to understand why someone would agree to take a poll and then lie about the person he is going to vote for.
In any event, the polls taken the weekend before the 2016 election were much more accurate than most Trump supporters believe.
Remember - those polls were predicting the popular vote.
They were not predicting who would win.
There were 16 national polls on the final weekend.
13 of those polls were within the margin of error - plus or minus 2% or 3%.
If there had been a poll that predicted what actually happened - Trump losing the popular vote by 2.1%, but winning 304 electoral votes - it would have been laughed out of the building.
On Maria’s Fox Business News show this morning, they referenced a Fox News poll that showed the president trailing just about every Democratic candidate including Klobuchar.
WTF kind of polling service does FNC use? The DNC’s?
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